Gil Winston: Big M and Freehold analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the racing program. Any horse whose performance is accurately captured in the past performances is not captured here, regardless of how good or poorly they may have raced.

These scores do not indicate must bet or must toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come in to play. But it does give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions. We recommend saving this data as other factors may cause a horse to have one or more issues (e.g., interference, layoffs, breaks, etc.) and you will want to go back to the last line that appeared clean on the program.

Here are horses previously flagged for giving players an edge with a positive score, that found their way to the winner’s circle this weekend.

Weekend winners previously flagged

Freehold 11-3 LINCOLN’S GIRL N               $9.60

Freehold 11-4 DERECHO                              $3.60

M’lands 11-3 OOH REAL GOOD                  $36.00

M’lands 11-3 DEBUT                                     $2.60

M’lands 11-4 WATERFALL                            $20.00

Meadowlands Qualifiers 11-4

Fastest Meadowlands qualifier was 2yo HUNGRY TO WIN. Fastest last quarters of 26:2 shared by: REGGAE HANOVER, CAPTAIN COWBOY, ARDEN MESSI N.

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

3             4 UPSWEET BLUE CHIP   1             Lineup behind winner entire stretch

5             2 CAN AM                          1             Pacing under restraint

6             4 ARDEN MESSI N            1             Had the most pace in the last 1/16^th

6             6 BEST PLACE NO BE       1             Lineup throughout the stretch

Meadowlands 11-3

Meadowlands 11-3; Races 1,5 and 8 featured amateur drivers.

Fastest last quarter at 26:2 shared by PATTYCAKE MOSS and FIRSTUP

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             9 KNOX THE FOX               1             Clear too late with some pace

2             6 SEE YOU FRIDAY            1             Pushed 4-wide on turn, closed ok after that

3             7 DEBUT                             2             Caught behind dead cover, capable of much more

4             9 BEACH DREAMZZZ        1             3-wide most of 1q. Out again in stretch.

4             10MASSIVE MATTER       1             Strong last 1/16^th

6             9 JODY                                2             Parked and pressed every step, still had most pace in lane

7             10INCREDIBLE BADGER  1             4-wide most of 26:4 first quarter

8             8 OREGON TRAIL              1             Shut off with pace

10           4 FIRSTUP                          1             Winner if clear

11           6 MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING2            Never clear with pace, probable winner if clear

Meadowlands 11-4

Fastest last quarter at 26 shared by SUGAR ME N and IMSTAYNALIVE

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             6 THE OPENER                  1             Blocked with pace

1             8 MONTANA STORM       1             3-wide most of fast 1q

2             4 MISTER HAT                   1             Blocked with pace

4             1 PRINCIPLE INTEREST    1             Never clear

4             7 WAY TO GO CAPTAIN   2             Shut off with pace

5             9 GLAMOROUS HANOVER1          Clear too late with most trot. Winner after wire

7             6 BRIGHT STAR                  1             Clear too late with trot

9             9 PRESSURE COOKER       2             Very wide most of 26:3 1q, 2^nd move in fast 3^rdq

12           6 LYONS PEGASUS            1             Blocked with pace

Freehold  11-3

Fastest last quarter at 28:1 shared by CORSINI N; Fastest time 1:55:2 LINCOLN’S GIRL N

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             6 LADY ELIZABETH           2             Had pace when horse broke in front of her. Lost ground and mo.

3             8 GHIBLI                             -1           Benefitted from trip

4             6 TWO MORE DREAM     -1           Benefitted from trip

10           6 BYRDS THE WORD        1             Clear too late with pace on rail

10           8 GOINROUNDNCIRCLES2            4-wide on last turn, then weave to pylons with most pace

Freehold  11-4

Fastest last quarter at 27:2 BARON MICHAEL; Fastest time 1:53:4 HAGGARD

4             8 SLIPIN SIP                        1             Impeded by breaking horse

5             2 STONE COLD SAVAGE   2             Gave late tuck then  come 1^st over. Lost ground and momentum.

5             6 KEEP US HAPPY             1             Got to outside too late with some pace

6             8 ON DAYBOO                   1             Behind dead cover. Best in lane.

8             6 NIALL HANOVER            1             Weave with some pace in stretch

11           2 LUNATIC FRINGE           2             Shuffled out. Most pace in lane.

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink