Gil Winston flags winners, Big M & Freehold analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the harness racing program. Horses whose performances are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.

These scores do not indicate must bet or must toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come in to play. But it does give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions. We recommend saving this data as other factors may cause a horse to have one or more issues (e.g., interference, layoffs, breaks, off track, driver change) and you will want to go back to the last line that appeared clean on the program.

However, the flagged horses have been coming in with generous payouts. Please note that horses that ship in are not tracked in the Meadowlands/Freehold analysis and win many races, but horses that ship between M1 and Freehold have produced some of the bigger payouts. In addition, do not expect to see many favorites on the winners list. They frequently show their abilities in the past performances and are less likely to be given a score.

You may want to track flagged horses shipping to other tracks. In addition, horses do not race every week, so you need to keep track of older editions.

This weekend’s winners that were identified in previous analyses.

Monticello 12-19             Race 6   Buckeye Emery  $24.80 (flagged at Freehold on 12-9, $150+ exacta, $300+ trifecta, ten cent super $170+. Keep an eye out for flagged horses that may ship to other tracks.)

M’lands 12-22                   Race 3   Nice Guy Eddie $ 8.60 (flagged in qualifier)

M’lands 12-22                   Race 7   Firstup                  $ 3.80 (flagged in 2 consecutive races)

M’Lands 12-23                  Race 3   BB Lucky Boy      $ 5.80 (flagged in last Meadowlands start)

Freehold 12-22                 *Race 10 Landia                $30.20 (flagged in last)

Freehold 12-22                 *Race 10 Ghibli                  2^nd (scored +2 two races back, and then chart identified good performance in last, completes $196 exacta

Freehold 12-23                 Race 6 My Boy Jack         $10.60 (2^nd consecutive win after being flagged)

Freehold 12-23                 Race 9   Yo A J                     $ 5.00 (after 3 consecutive races of excuses and flagged as much the best with a +3 rating in each race, the horse finally got the good Freehold air, against the same horses, and won from here to jabip)

Meadowlands Qualifiers 12-23

4 qualifying races. No variances from the charted lines.

Meadowlands 12-22

Race       Horse                                    Score     Analysis

1             6 In Nevada N                    1             Shut off with pace (2^nd consecutive excuse race)

3             9 Chake                                1             Off stride in traffic (but 4^th time breaking in that spot)

4             3 Pack Your Bags               1             Good pace when clear

4             5 Mask On Mask Off        1             Good pace when clear

4             10 Paprike Blue Chip       1             4-wide passed 1/8

6             8 Illusion Seelster             1             Weaving with most pace, late

7             8 Phelgon                            1             3-wide passed 1/8

7             10 Pheenom Seelster      2             4-wide passed 1/8

6             7 Uptown Lady N              1             Clear to late with pace along cones

6             8 Illusion Seelster             1             Blocked with pace

7             9 Moneymakehersmile  1             Clear too late with pace

7             10 Phenom Seelster         2             4-wide almost quarter, then put to sleep with big lead

8             2 Xmarxthespot                1             Lineup

8             6 Valor                                  2             Blocked with pace

12           6 Treacherous Dame       1             Most pace when clear

13           1 Tax Seeker                        1             Looked like  winner, missed last turn

Meadowlands 12-23

Race       Horse                                    Score     Analysis

4             5 Fulsome                           2             Clear too late with pace (2^nd consecutive excuse)

5             1 Caliber                               1             Tight throughout stretch

5             10 As Always                      2             Wide passed 1/8. Parked and stayed game

7             9 Loorim Lake A                3             3-wide 1^st quarter, parked, stacked widest and most pace late

8             4 Little Expensive              2             Much more

9             3 Sling Shock                      2             Used way too hard

9             6 Three Grand                    2             Shut off with pace along the cones

10           3 Red Right Hand              1             Bearing in caused the horse to  break

10           5 Stone Hanover               1             Looked good before interference, lineup late

10           6 Vintage Cheddar N       1             Weave with pace

12           1 Select Friday                   2             Shut off, good pace when clear

Freehold  12-22

Race       Horse                                    Score     Analysis

1             8 Trophy Bride                   1             Most pace late

8             6 Lyons Miki                       1             Strong up the cones

9             6 Two More Dreams        1             Wide first turn, lost interest late because of big lead

10           1 Ghibli                                 1             Shuffled, got going too late

11           6 Macjestic Toddy            1             Blocked with some pace

Freehold  12-23

Race       Horse                                    Score     Analysis

1             6 Krusty Knuckles                             1             Behind dull cover, good late

2             2 Steppin Hurry                                 1             Shuffled out, pace when clear

2             3 Lunatic Pride                                   1             Shuffled out

2             8 Dependlebury A                            2             Wide first turn, pushed wide last turn

3             5 Vasari N                                            ?              Trouble with turns, needs big track

3             8 Gentlemensattitude                    2             Left, checked back before 1q, closed well

5             3 Wilbur’s Z Tam                               1             Shuffled out

6             3 My Wish Come True                     1             Weave with pace

7             8 Midnight Lightning                       1             Blindswitch, shuffle

9             1 Cheyenne Ryan Lee                      1             Blocked between

9             2 Fizzing N                                           1             Blocked with pace

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink