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Home USA

Gil Winston’s latest handicapping analysis, includes $96 winner

10 July 2024
in USA, Top 4
by Gil Winston
0

The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.

Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.

Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts. Three of this week’s scored winners paid $96, $46 and $18.  Eight scored horses won at the Meadowlands on Friday.  See below.

You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, go to here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners are identified on occasion.

Watch out for 2yos that qualify at The Meadowlands, then ship out of town for stakes races.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

Philly                     7-3         Race 9   MY NAME IS HAIRY         $ 8.60    Scored +2 on the last weekend of the Freehold meet. Comment was “4-wide the first turn, can beat better.” Was parked the mile in next race.

Philly                     7-5         Race 3   FUN WITH FLAGS             $46.20   Scored in qualifier at Magical Acres on 6-19. Hopefully, some of you were the lucky ones who had the $1,300 exacta and the $3,288 trifecta

Yonkers                7-5         Race 7   FADE OUT                          $ 2.90    Scored at M’lands on 6-21

M’ lands               7-5         Race 1   MARTY MONKHOUSER A$ 6.60 Scored in last at M’lands

M’ lands               7-5         Race 3   ASCENDANCE                   $ 2.20   Second straight win after being scored in qualifier

M’ lands               7-5         Race 4   FALLOUT                             $ 3.00   Scored in first M’lands qualifier. Won second qualifier by open lengths

M’ lands               7-5         Race 6   CAPTAINOPTIMISTIC      $ 2.80    Scored in qualifier

M’lands                7-5         Race 9   GOOD DEAL                      $96.00   Scored in last. “Blocked with pace in stretch” was the comment. Hope some of you were lucky enough to hit the $993 exacta and $7,994 trifecta and the ten-cent super which paid $1,118 for a dime. Speaking of the super, the other scored horse in the race, INTEREST FREE A, finished 4th at 9-2. Two parts of the $1,131 pick-4 winners were scored.

GOOD DEAL REPLAY

M’lands                7-5                        Race 10 TORRISI                              $ 4.80    Scored in first qualifier. Won second qualifier by open lengths.

M’lands                7-5                        Race 14 E A MUSHU                      $ 8.40    Scored in last

M’lands                7-6                        Race 4   ABSOLUTE POWER          $18.60   Scored at M’lands on 6-21

Meadowlands Qualifiers 7-6      

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             4 CASTEL LINDY                1             Impeded by breaker after 3q, strong close on own

2             3 BARCELONA                   1             Cut off when full of trot, then did not regain trot

3             3 BLANK                             1             Strong last 1/16

3             1 FLIGHTLINE                    1             Accelerated when urged

6             4 GLOBAL HERITAGE        2             Behind dead cover, much the best in the lane

8             6 STEAMBOAT SPRINGS  1             Made two moves, in hand. Might be a good one.

9             5 GO GO GRASSHOPPER 2            Shut off with pace, reaccelerated

11           2 RECKLESS ABANDON    1             Willing pace when clear

12           2 PAPI’S OPINION             2             Very strong through stretch

13           7 FANSVILLE                      1             Lineup through stretch

15           7 STAR ATTRACTION        1             Weave with trot, another Svanstedt special

15           6 PIZZA BIANCA                -1           Tired badly

16           1 COOL PAPA BELL           2             Kept under wraps, lineup with trot

17           2 ROCK THE CAPTAIN N  1             Lineup with pace

Meadowlands 7-5

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             3 YAYAS HOT SPOT N       1             Had pace before interference in deep stretch

3             4 SEA HER RULE               1             Moved too late, good finish

5             2 MARYLAND                    1             Blame the driver or the track condition for the break, not the horse

5             5 GAP KRONOS                 3             Outrageous foul up by judges. Horse was interfered with before the start of the race. Big close. Much the best. How about giving days to judges.

*** Note, the video does not go back far enough. In the video, the breaker does not interfere with GAP KRONOS. But notice that GAP KRONOS was well off the gate at the start of the video. That was because Svanstedt was avoiding the breaker well before the start.

6             1 P A PIPER                        1             Good acceleration when clear

7             5 LOVETHEWAYYOULIE   1             Weave with most pace

9             9 LITERL LAD HANOVER  1             Weaved with pace through stretch

10           4 R DUTCHESS                   1             Bad step late, would have won

11           7 HELLO ROCKY                2             Loaded with pace

Meadowlands 7-6

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             8 SEVEN REPS                    1             Good trot when clear

2             2 SELECT FRIDAY               1             Good acceleration when clear

3             7 BIG BAD BILL                 1             Lost ground weaving from cones to far outside, then closed

4             6 PARISIAN BLUE CHIP    1             Cut off in stretch

6             7 SILK CLOUD A                 1             Cut off in stretch, came on in tight quarters when clear

7             9 REMEMBER THE ALAMO 1        Too far back. Most pace late

8             4 CAPTAIN ALBANO         1             Was going to be a factor if not for bad steps

9             2 CHAPERCRAZ                 1             Tight quarters with trot

10           8 ACT FAST                         1             The most pace in the lane

11           BIG SKEWY N                    1             Blocked with pace

11           IT’S MY SHOW                  3             4-wide passed 1/8. Lose cover, parked long, pressed

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink

Tags: Gil WinstonThe MeadowlandsUnited States Harness Racing
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