Gil Winston: 32-1 winner in Hambletonian Maturity

Followers of scored horses in this column were rewarded with the 32-1 winner of the $425,000 HAMBLETONIAN MATURITY on Meadowlands Pace night. CHAPERCRAZ was scored because of hidden form not apparent in the past performances.

The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced. Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get.

Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts.

While I have not advocated blindly playing all scored horses, the results have been saying that such a strategy is worth considering. When you see “lineup” in the comments, that means that horse followed another horse to the wire and there is no way to tell how much pace or trot it might have had if clear.

You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis.

• Saved scored horses in your virtual stables.
• On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, click here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horses in question. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners are identified on occasion.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

M’lands                7-12       Race 3   DON’T ASK FOR MORE                  $ 6.40    Scored in qualifier

*M’lands              7-12       Race 8   HIDALGO                                           $ 3.00    Second straight win since scoring in qualifier,

*M’lands              7-12       Race 8   GO BOOM                                         finished second at 9-2 for an $11.40 exacta

*M’lands              7-12       Race 8   CAMERA MAN                                 finished third at 9-2 for a popular $29 trifecta.  But those were the only scored horses in the race.

M’lands                7-12       Race 9   NORDIC CATCHER S                       $ 2.40    Scored +2 in his qualifier

Yonkers                7-12       Race 10 SILK CLOUD A                                  $ 3.20    Scored in last at M’lands

M’lands                7-13       Race 2   BENNY J                                            $ 6.20    Scored in last at M’lands

M’lands                7-13       Race 3   TACTICAL MOUNDS                       $10.00   Scored in last at M’lands

M’lands                7-13       Race 9   CHAPERCRAZ                                   $67.40   Scored in last at M’lands. Comment was “Tight quarters with trot” Followers of scored horses lucky enough to hit the gimmicks, exacta $612, trifecta $7,336 ten cent superfecta paid $3,408.

CHAPERCRAZ REPLAY

H-Philly                7-14       Race 2   WHAT THE LUCK                             $16.60   Scored in last at M’lands

Meadowlands Qualifiers 7-12

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

4             6 HEY PORTER                   2             Very wide passed 1/8, then strong when moved from behind dead cover

HEY PORTER REPLAY

7             1 SEVEMEARAS                 1             Lineup behind winner

9             2 COACHES CORNER        2             Impressive

Meadowlands 7-12

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             1 SPICY NICE                     1             Needed to grab up after front runner broke in stretch

2             3 HUNT YOU DOWN        1             Lineup along cones

2             5 SKYWAY BILLY                1             Clear too late

5             2 ROMA AMOR                 1             Clear too late

5             5 QUICK FIRE                     2             Clear too late with pace

8             8 GO BOOM                       1             Very wide almost to the quarter

9             3 SOFT LANDING              1             Lineup

11           6 BAILEYS ROCK N            1             Wins by more if clear earlier in the stretch

12           1 RECKLESS ABANDON    1             Blocked with pace

12           6 BEACH BABE                  2             Multiple checks, all over the track, most pace late

13           7 R CHARM                        1             Very wide most of first quarter

14           2 ARCHIBALD                    1             Clear too late with the most trot

Meadowlands 7-13

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             8 SUPERNOVA HANOVER 1           Clear too late with most trot

4             5 PAULINA HANOVER      1             Clear too late with some trot

5             5 CHIAPANECAS                1             Weave in stretch with no clearance

6             7 SECURITY PROTECTED 1             Lineup along cones

8             7 WILD TICKET                  1             Blocked with trot along cones

9             5 HASTY BID                      1             No chance behind breaker in stretch

10           3 CHRISTCHURCH             1             Never clear with pace

10           11ROCKNROLL RUNA A  1             Never clear with pace

12           1 FLAWLESS                       2             Squeezed out with pace

12           6 ODDS ON STENO          1             Taken out in first quarter

ODDS ON STENO REPLAY

13           3 ALLEGIANT                     1             Never clear

14           1 GOOD DEAL                   1             Lineup

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink