USA
Canada
Australia
New Zealand
Europe
UK / IRE
The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced. Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get.
Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts. While I have not advocated blindly playing all scored horses, the results have been saying that such a strategy is worth considering. When you see “lineup” in the comments, that means that horse followed another horse to the wire and there is no way to tell how much pace or trot it might have had if clear.
You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis.
- Save scored horses in your virtual stables.
- On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, go to https://harnesslink.com/tag/gil-winston/ This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horses in question. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.
This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses
Meadows 8-29 Race 6 PAULINA HANOVER $10.20 Scored +2 in last start at M’lands
Freehold 8-30 Race 6 JUST ROLLING $13.00 Scored in last start at Freehold
Freehold 8-31 Race 1 PAPRIKE BLUE CHIP $ 4.40 Scored in last start at Freehold
*Freehold 8-31 Race 9 FLYING TIGER $12.60 Second straight win after being scored +2 in qualifier
*Freehold 8-31 Race 9 BELTANE A paid $4.40 to place at 7-2. Scored in last Freehold race. Exacta paid $41.60
M’lands 8-31 Race 4 SIG SAUER $ 2.10 Scored in last start at M’lands
*M’lands 8-31 Race 11 MY SWEET LILY $10.60 Scored in M’lands qualifier
*M’lands 8-31 Race 11 WORKLIFEBALANCE paid $9.60 place at 15-1. Scored in last start at M’lands. Completes $101 exacta.
*M’lands 8-31 Race 11 RECKLESS ABANSON paid $2.10 show at 2-5. Multiple wins at M’lands after being scored in qualifier. Completes $217 trifecta.
Harrahs Phil 9-1 Race 7 SONO CONFUSO $26.80 Second straight win since being scored in Freehold qualifier.
Meadowlands 8-30
*** Not a lot of movement during elimination races. The goal is to qualify for the big money finals the following week. The Meadowlands has a post position formula based on finish, but this observer finds the drivers need to qualify for the final overrides the need for a potentially advantageous post. Anticipate a lack of aggression to win races. Serious handicappers frequently shy away from elimination races. ***
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 9 KENTUCKY COLONEL 1 Lineup through stretch
3 6 TOM HORN 1 Clear too late
5 1 BACCHUS 1 Never clear, appeared to have more trot
6 5 SHEILA SAZS 1 Blocked with pace along cones
7 10 TOVE PALEMA 1 Lineup
7 2 LADY LANDIA 2 Gapped, hopelessly blocked, exploded when lucky to clear. Was the gapping caused by the horse, or just another typical elimination race where winning is not critical?
8 4 CONVERSANO 1 Never clear with trot
9 10 WARRAWEE MICHELLE 2 Similar to LADY LANDIA comment as Svanstedt got her up in the last stride. A lack of urgency on a 1-9 filly who was easily on top in 27.2 first quarter in her last start.
>>> Video Meadowlands 8-30 Race 9 <<<
10 6 TONY ADAMS S 3 Similar to comment of two previous Svanstedt winners, but the lack of urgency on Dunn’s drive caused this horse to miss at 1-9. He was impacted by an early breaker, but the lack of urgency was apparent.
11 1 RODEO DRIVE 1 Blocked with pace along cones
11 4 FASHION TERROR 1 Lineup, additional pace when clear
12 3 REIGNING JADE 1 Tight quarters with extra pace while weaving
14 4 EXPEDIENT 1 Blocked with trot
14 6 CLOUDY BAY HANOVER 1 Blocked with trot
Meadowlands 8-31
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 6 LINCOLN BOULEVARD 1 Race was long over before he got clearance
2 8 BAILEY’S ROCK N 1 Very wide and checked in first turn, pushed wide on last turn
5 10 HUNTERS GAL 1 Unable to get clearance with most trot late
6 7 SWEET AMIRA 1 3-wide first eighth, then strong brush in 26.4 first quarter
7 4 T’S RAIDER II 2 Blindswitch while 3-wide, then paced when finally clear
7 10 IT’S SHOWTIME 1 Lost a lot of ground and checked on last turn, then closed
10 3 SOARING NOW 1 Blocked with pace
12 8 SHINE ON SUSAN 2 4-wide to 3-wide almost to the quarter, clear to late with pace
Freehold 8-30
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 6 THE LAST TALE 2 Clear too late with pace, probable winner if clear in time
4 6 RUN BABY 1 3-wide brush entire first turn
5 5 PILSNER FROSTY 1 3-wide entire first turn
5 6 LA MAGIC 1 Lineup at wire
6 3 HOLD MY TIARA 1 3-wide entire clubhouse turn after half
7 7 QUEEN SUN RYSER 1 Wide entire first turn
8 5 LOVELY LADY MAY 1 Impacted by breaker in 1st turn
8 6 BRAZEN RAISIN 1 Impacted by breaker in 1st turn
8 7 RED DAWN 2 Pushed wide by breaker in 1st turn, then closed well
9 8 MADDY N MAGGIE 1 Too far back, most pace widest
Freehold 8-31
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 7 MOONWARDS HANOVER 1 Clear too late
4 5 MCCLINCHIE N 1 Blocked between
5 4 BRICKYARD VELTIC 1 Shuffled out
7 1 INDIGENOUS HANOVER 1 Blindswitch
7 6 SARANAC BLUE CHIP 1 3-wide almost to the quarter
7 7 TROOPER L 1 Behind gapper, strong 3-wide last quarter
11 6 UILLIAM 1 Behind dead cover, 3-wide last turn
Power to the punter.
by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink
