A “jogburger with onions” for Gil Winston analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.

Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.

*** This week highlighted the value of these analysis articles with an amazing payoff at Yonkers on a horse that had received the highest possible score. See the details below. ***

Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.

The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. (HARNESSLINK.COM article published 12-29) That was the biggest price, but there have been many long prices. There have been a number of cold exactas, and two cold trifectas when three scored horses ended up in the same race.

You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, click here.  This will open up the list of all articles.

For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners are identified on occasion.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

5-24       Yonkers                Race 7                  BEERTHIRTY K                  $27.20   This is a bet dreams are made of. In his previous race, the horse changed barns then received the rare +3 score at Freehold after receiving a magical mystery tour by an amateur. He spotted the field 15 lengths before the start, then spent the last half mile 3-wide, and kept coming in the stretch. Tonight – George Brennan from the 8-hole and the easiest open length win. He was the first leg of a $315 pick-3, the second leg of a $1,640 pick-4, and the third leg of a $3,941 pick-5. How many column readers benefitted from the +3 score information? The replay of the Freehold race was provided in the previous analysis. Here is the replay of this win, a jogburger with onions.

BEERTHIRTY K REPLAY

5-24       M’lands                Race 3                  PINEBUSHDRAGONROLL $ 5.60 Fourth M’lands win since being scored at M’lands in March

5-24       M’lands                Race 6                  SARASOTA HANOVER     $ 3.80   Scored in M’lands qualifier.

*5-24     M’lands                Race 10                PERICULUM                      $ 5.20    Scored in last at M’lands

*5-24     M’lands                Race 11                CENTURY FURY                 $20.60   Scored +2 in last at Freehold. Two parts of the $1,812 pick-4. How many of you got lucky?

CENTURY FURY REPLAY

5-26       H Philly                 Race 3                  STEELY KNIFE                    $ 5.80    Scored in M’lands qualifier, then almost beat 1-9 beast in next.

Meadowlands Qualifiers 5-25   

Young horses will be shipping everywhere. Worth tracking.

               *** Pace             Fastest qualifier               NEWSROOM                                   1:51.0

               *** Pace             Fastest last quarter         NEWSROOM/P L PORTIA                :26.3

               *** Trot              Fastest qualifier               BOND                                                 1:53.1

               *** Trot              Fastest last quarter         SPECIAL WAY                                   26.0

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             4 DAIQUIRI HANOVER     1             The most trot in the lane

3             1 IT’S ACADEMIC              2             Lineup through stretch

IT’S ACADEMIC REPLAY

6             1 HEART OF LOVE N        1             Would have won if driver could have controlled horse. Equipment?

Meadowlands Racing 5-24        

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             3 GRACEFUL DESIGN       1             Clear too late with some trot along cones

3             7 T’S RAIDER II                  1             Lined up with pace

4             9 APERTIF                           2             Wide first turn, stacked wide last turn, and checked in stretch

8             6 MAJORLY SEXY               1             Blocked and weaved in tight quarters

12           1 LOCKHEED MARTIN      1             Clear too late with pace

14           7 FLAMBOYANCE              2             Shut off on inside, probable winner

14           10 POWERED BY MACH  1            3-wide passed 1/8, the parked passed the 3/8

POWERED MY MACH REPLAY

Meadowlands Racing 5-25

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             1 HUNT FOR CASH           -1           Backing up before going offstride

2             6 DIVINE RIGHT                1             Interference after 3q, good recovery

3             1 BB LUCKY BOY               1             Weaves into traffic, lost momentum

3             7 FULTON                           1             4-wide, 3-wide almost 1q

4             7 THATSWHATISAID N     2             5-wide passed 1/8, 3w almost q, pk almost ½, pressed.

10           1 MR THREE O FIVE         1             Clear too late with pace

Freehold Racing 5-24

*** Closing until late August. I recommend following scored horses to other tracks if you are playing other tracks this summer ***            

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             6 BEE AWARE                    1             Weaved into traffic, blocked.

4             4 ALMOST KAREN            2             3-wide going nowhere first turn, tucked before quarter. Most of the mile outside.

6             4 TWIN B SOLITAIRE        1             Squeezed between horses in deep stretch. Appeared to have a little more.

7             4 HOLD ME CLOSER         1             Shuffled out.

8             4 HOLY GRAIL N                1             Gained nicely when clear.

8             SLIPIN SKIP                         2             Dangled first turn, long brush, then had to circle bad cover.

SLIPIN SKIP REPLAY

Freehold  Racing 5-25  

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             7 AINTNOSUNSHINE       2             Long 3-wide brush, was still moving when broke because driver through lines at him. (Follow the horse if he ships, but he needs a cheap field)

AINTNOSUNSHINE REPLAY

2             3 WALTS NATTY DATTY   1             4-wide the last turn

2             5 MAGAZINE THEME       1             Blocked with pace.

2             7 MY NAME IS HAIRY      2             4-wide the first turn, can beat better.

5             4 MUSIC IS ART                 2             All over track. Much better than line indicates.

6             7 FRANCO NANDOR N    2             Checked and compromised by excess cover, lost many lengths 3 and 4-wide in last quarter and on last turn.

7             6 ALL RISE                          1             3-wide entire turn, parked almost 3/8 mile

9             2 LANDIA                            1             Very wide last turn, then closed well.

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink