Prepping for Hambletonian weekend race analysis

Prepping for Hambletonian Weekend – You won’t see Karl, T C I or ELISTA here. There was nothing hidden in their harness racing form. Shoot for longshots that can beat them, or longshots that will fill the gimmicks behind them in vertical bets or help boost the odds with them in horizontal bets.

I know that many players save up to step out on Hambletonian weekend because that is when the handle is the greatest. A number of horses shipped out of town since they last raced at The Meadowlands. Be sure to revisit previous analysis to find hidden form. Good luck with your bets.

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced. Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get.

Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts. While I have not advocated blindly playing all scored horses, the results have been saying that such a strategy is worth considering. When you see “lineup” in the comments, that means that horse followed another horse to the wire and there is no way to tell how much pace or trot it might have had if clear.

You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis.

• Save scored horses in your virtual stables.
• On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, go to this link This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horses in question. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

M’lands                7-26       Race 2   RECKLESS ABANDON      $ 2.10    Second straight win after being scored on 7-12

M’lands                7-27       Race 6   ALLEGIANT                        $11.60   Scored in last at M’lands. The 3-5 favorite finished second while the only other scored horse in the race PAULINA HANOVER finished third at 28-1. The trifecta paid $256.

M’lands                7-27       Race 11 RUN THE WORLD DEO paid $19.60 to place at 31-1. Scored in his last M’lands race. Got beat a nose (that nose cost me the first-place lead in the M’lands Survival Contest) for the win. Split the two favorites. Exacta paid $69, trifecta paid $360.

Meadowlands Qualifiers 7-26

*** Last week of qualifiers. Watch for scored horses as they move to other tracks in August ***

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

3             1 MY SWEET LILY              1             Dug in on own when challenged

6             2 PROMINENCE                2             Under strong hold in stretch

7             4 BOND                              2             Definitely LICENSED TO KILL

8             4 OAKWOOD ARDEN IR  2             Blocked with pace

Meadowlands 7-26

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             8 LANDIA                            1             3-wide most of quarter, first over last half, then carried a little wide

2             4 BEACH BABE                  1             Off stride when rank. Made up a ton of ground. A weekly excuse.

4             5 UILLIAM                          1             Weave with pace

4             8 SOMESURFSOMEWHERE 1       Forced 3-wide from behind dead cover at the 5/8, finished well

6             6 MANOLETE                     2             Looped, then 3-wide to quarter. Would have won by more if clear earlier

6             7 TWIN FURY                     1             4-wide brush to quarter, hard first over, then trouble steering in the stretch

6             8 MCCUSKER                     1             Strongest pace through the lane

8             3 KENTUCKY COLONEL    1             Blocked with trot

10           3 KENDRA                          3             Out, then in behind stopper after ¾ pole. Would have been easy winner

KENDRA REPLAY

11           9 POWERED BY MACH    1             Lineup through stretch

11           10 GAITWAY GAL              1             Shuffled out, good pace late

Meadowlands 7-27

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

3             1 NELDONBRITEEAGLE NO 1        Accelerated when clear

6             4 PAULINA HANOVER      2             Looped, then took 3/8 to get back to last, then closed strong

PAULINA HANOVER REPLAY

8             7 DRAWN IMPRESSION   2             3-wide to the quarter, then abandoned pocket, and passed first over horse

DRAWN IMPRESSION REPLAY

12           6 REMEMBER THE ALAMO 1        Blocked with pace

13           2 TAKING THE MIKI A      1             Shut off with pace

14           7 PACINO HANOVER        1             Never clear with pace

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink