Gil Winston identified 13 winners at The Big M

The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced. Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get.

Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts. While I have not advocated blindly playing all scored horses, the results have been saying that such a strategy is worth considering.

When you see “lineup” in the comments, that means that horse followed another horse to the wire and there is no way to tell how much pace or trot it might have had if clear.

You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis.

• Save scored horses in your virtual stables.
• On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, click here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horses in question. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners are identified on occasion.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses

H-Philly                7-19       Race 7                  SUPERNOVA HANOVER $13.60   Scored in last at M’lands

M’lands                7-19       Race 2                  R CHARM                           $ 7.40    Scored in last at M’lands

M’lands               7-19       Race 3                  SPICY NICE                        $ 8.00    Scored in last at M’lands. Surprising overlay. Was the morning line favorite with an excuse in last.

M’lands               7-19       Race 4                  GO BOOM                          $ 9.40    Scored in last at M’lands. More crazy odds. Hidalgo beat him easily last week, but with a MUCH easier trip. Tonight,  Go Boom had Hidalgo beaten before the 1-5 favorite broke.

M’lands                7-19       Race 5                  ARCHIBALD                       $22.60 to place at 54-1. Scored in last at M’lands. Beaten by the 3-5 favorite at the wire. The exacta paid $122. The pick-3 with SPICY NICE and GO BOOM would have paid $605.

M’lands                7-19       Race 8                  RECKLESS ABANDON      $ 5.00    Scored in last at M’lands

*Yonkers              7-19       Race 1                  FADE OUT                          $15.40   Scored in last at M’lands

*Yonkers              7-19       Race 2                  SILK CLOUD A                   $ 2.50    Scored in last at M’lands
*Yonkers Daily Double of scored M’lands horses paid     $25.80

*Meadows          7-20       Race 3                  WORLD BEATER               $14.60   Scored in qualifier at M’lands, then finished third to two other scored horses in next race to complete a scored trifecta.

*Meadows          7-20       Race 3                  PAPIS PISTOL                     Paid $4.80 to place at 6-1.  Scored in qualifier at M’lands, then finished first ahead of two other scored horses in next race to complete a scored trifecta. This exacta paid $60.00

Meadows            7-20       Race 6                  RAILROAD STATION         $ 4.40    Scored in qualifier at M’lands, then finished first second between two other scored horses in next race to complete a scored trifecta.

Meadows            7-20       Race 9                  CAPTAIN ALBANO            $ 3.40    Scored in at M’lands on 7-6, then his magical mystery tour in his next race was charted in the past performances.

M’lands                7-20       Race 2                  QUICK FIRE                        $ 4.80    Scored in last at M’lands

M’lands                7-20       Race 14                BIG BAD BILL                    $22.60   Scored in last at M’lands

Meadowlands Qualifiers 7-20

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             WINNPANZEE                    2             Broke because she was full of trot and ran over horse in her way

9             PROMINENCE                   2             Huge recovery after break at start

Meadowlands 7-19

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

*** Races 1 thru 4 all WUSIWUG ***

5             1 MASSTER BLUE              1             Shuffled out, some trot late

5             5 HUNTERS GAL                1             Most trot when clear

7             4 TOUGH LAZ                    1             Shuffled out, some pace in traffic

8             2 BARBADOS BABE          1             Shuffled out, willing between horses

8             7 BEACH BABE                  2             Another race, another excuse. Seems like a tough horse to drive. Gingras caused the horse break when trying to back her into a hole. Excellent recovery.

11           9 DANDY IDEA                   1             Better than the win. Very wide and lost a lot of ground on first turn.

12           1 BEANZY FRESH               1             Weave with pace

12           5 WASH N WAX                 1             Looked beaten, then closed stron

12           2 FLOOR IT FREDDIE        1             Blocked with pace along cones

12          10 TWIN FURY                  2             Very wide and used hard in first quarter

13           8 HEY PORTER                   2             Lost ground avoiding breaker in first quarter. Most trot in last quarter.

14           6 THUNDRFRMTHETHRON N 1    Lost a lot of ground behind drifter before 3^rd quarter. Best close.

Meadowlands 7-20

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             1 ROCK JAGGER                1             Interference in stretch, lost ground and momentum

2             7 GAITWAY GAL                1             Shut off in stretch with pace

3             2 CHURCHVIEWFRANKL IR 2        Cut off and pushed very wide on the turn

6             4 KINESIOLOGY                 1             The most trot when clear

7             1 LAURIE LEE                     1             Blocked with pace

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink