The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.
Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.
Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.
The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. (HARNESSLINK.COM article published 12-29) That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and this weekend was the second cold trifecta when three scored horses ended up in the same race).
You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, click here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse.
If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.
Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners will be identified on occasion.
This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses
Saratoga 4-20 Race 12 HEART OF ROCK $ 3.30 Second straight win since being scored at M’lands.
Freehold 4-19 Race 7 RACING FOR RICK $ 6.40 Scored in last at Freehold
Freehold 4-19 Race 9 CAPTAIN FANCY $ 2.40 Second consecutive win at Freehold since being scored in last start at M’lands.
M’lands 4-19 Race 2 PINEBUSHDRAGONROLL $10.20 Scored two starts back, horse that beat him in last was a late scratch.
M’lands 4-19 Race 3 HELLO ROCKY $12.00 Scored in last at M’lands.
M’lands 4-20 Race 2 SHIPSAWAY $ 4.60 Scored in last at M’lands.
M’lands 4-20 Race 6 LEXUS KODY $ 2.60 Scored +2 in last at M’lands.
LEXUS KODY REPLAY
M’lands 4-20 Race 7 GOOD ROCKIN $ 7.60 Scored +2 in last at M’lands.
GOOD ROCKIN REPLAY
M’lands 4-20 Race 9 ADAM CROCKER A $ 8.80 Third straight M’lands win after being scored. Three out of the four pick-4 horses were scored. Hopefully some of you included the 12-1 winner in the 8th race that completed the $462 pick-4.
Meadowlands Qualifiers 4-20
15 Qualifying Races – Important Notes:
Fastest pace: CAPTAIN LUKE 1:52
Fastest last q: PASS LINE :25:1
All trot races were 1:55 and change
Fastest last q: PERICULUM :26:4
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 2 ITS SATURDAY NIGHT 1 Accelerated on own when challenged for second
3 7 CAPTAIN BAZINGA 1 Had more in the back of the pack
6 1 MAGIC HILL 1 Accelerated on own when clear on outside
8 3 WALCANGO 1 Lineup behind winner, had more.
10 4 JAGEN H’GHAR 2 Winner was long gone before he made his move
JAGEN H’GHAR REPLAY
13 1 TOTAL STRANGER 1 Lineup, no moves, more pace
13 3 BETTER IS NICE 1 Lineup, no moves, more pace
13 4 MIRAGE HANOVER 1 Very strong pace when let loose in deep stretch
14 2 DIRECTION 1 Lineup with pace
14 3 ODDS ON STENO 1 Lineup with pace
Meadowlands 4-19
Race Horse Score Analysis
*1 1 OHMIKIYOURSOFINE 1 Pressed every step
*1 2 STOLEN ART 2 4-wide entire last half
*1 3 PAN STREET USA -1 Benefit from the rest of the field killing themselves
*1 4 HARRY HANOVER 1 Clear too late
*1 5 CLOUDBREAK 1 Parked 1st over while another horse 3-wide entire mile
*1 6 IN NEVADA -1 Benefit from the rest of the field killing themselves (yes, it was an amateur race)
4 2 MISTER GODRO 1 Blindswitch and blocked
4 3 NATIVE CHIEF 1 Lineup along cones
4 5 SKYWAY BILLY 1 Blocked some pace
4 7 JUST A ROCKET MAN 1 Clear too late, winner after wire
5 5 TIDAL SHARK 1 Tight quarters
6 7 PURAMERI 1 Lineup
7 2 THE AMERICAN EAGLE 1 Behind dead cover too long. 3rd straight excuse
8 9 MAXIMUS 1 Cut off when moving, came on again
8 6 INSTAGRAM MODEL 1 Clear too late, winner after wire
10 7 DONTKARENFIDO 1 Try leave, check, wide 1/8, good close
Meadowlands 4-20
Race Horse Score Analysis
3 3 NO WORDS 1 Clear too late
3 4 CHUCKY HANOVER 1 3-wide almost to the quarter
3 7 JUST PLAIN LOCO 3 4-wide passed 1/8, 3-wide almost quarter, some pace late
JUST PLAIN LOCO REPLAY
5 7 MUSCLE FACTORY A 3 Left for position, moved in fast 2nd quarter, then 3-wide the last half
MUSCLE FACTORY A REPLAY
9 8 IDEAL FEELING 1 Seemed uninterested until challenged from behind, then blocked with pace
10 1 ROCKIN ON VENUS 1 Clear late, gained when clear, then blocked late, some more pace
12 6 WARRAWEE 1 Lineup with pace
Freehold 4-19
Race Horse Score Analysis
5 4 MS CHANTALMACHABAY 1 Strong pace when clear on outside
6 5 CONGRESS HILL EVA 1 3-wide the last turn
6 7 PARODY 1 4-wide the last turn
8 7 BEST CHOICE 2 Wide 1st turn, hard brush from last, parked, pulled up when beaten
BEST CHOICE REPLAY
9 1 SWEET MOVES 2 3-wide entire clubhouse turn, hard used after that
Freehold 4-20
Race Horse Score Analysis
3 1 TWIN B RISENSHINE 2 First time Estrada. Had a lot more
5 7 SPIRIT OF SUCCESS 1 Very wide 1st turn, check and tuck before 3/8.
6 5 MIDNIGHT DAY 1 3-wide last turn
6 8 MY NAME IS HAIRY 1 4-wide most of last turn, kept coming
9 8 BONDI SHAKE N 2 Weave widest into lineup, block pace
BONDI SHAKE N REPLAY
by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink
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