Gil Winston: Big M and Freehold race analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the racing program. Any horse whose performance is accurately captured in the past performances is not captured here, regardless of how good or poorly they may have raced.

These scores do not indicate must bet or must toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come in to play. But it does give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions. We recommend saving this data as other factors may cause a horse to have one or more issues (e.g., interference, layoffs, breaks, etc.) and you will want to go back to the last line that appeared clean on the program.

Here are horses previously flagged for giving players an edge with a positive score, that found their way to the winner’s circle this weekend. Two exactas where both first and second place finishers were flagged, and a 112-1 shot finished third that was flagged in his qualifier because he “had the most pace in the last 1/16^{th “}

Weekend winners previously flagged

M’lands 11-11 BIZY’S BEATLE                     $22.20

M’lands 11-11 MARG IN CHARGE              $35.80 and GLAMOROUS HANOVER 2nd $155.80 exacta

M’lands 11-11 ODDS ON STENO                $70.40

M’lands 11-11 ARDEN MESSI N                  112-1 Finished 3^rd behind $8.20 exacta. Trifecta paid $195.20

Freehold 11-10 LAZIN ON THE BEACH      $3.60

Freehold 11-10 GOINROUNDCIRCLES       $3.40 and BYRDS THE WORD 2nd $6.80 exacta

Freehold 11-11 ALWAYS RUTHLESS           $8.80

Meadowlands Qualifiers 11-11

Fastest Meadowlands qualifier was TAURASI Fastest last quarter of :27 by: CAPTAIN LUKE

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

3             5 CAPTAIN LUKE                1             Showed acceleration in deep stretch when asked

3             6 PEACE TALKS                  1             Followed gapper, then made up a lot of ground in 2^nd quarter

Meadowlands 11-10

Races 1,5 and 10 featured amateur drivers.

Fastest last quarter at 27 shared by JODY, SILENT CROSSING and SHELTER IN PACE

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             3 SKYWAY BILLY`               1             Clear too late with some pace

1             9 ATTA BOY DAN               1             4-wide most of fast 1q , 3w almost 3/8

2             6 BLUEBIRD CRUSH          -1           Benefitted from breaker, clear in stretch

2             7 WARRAWEE BROOKE   1             Lost ground because of breaker

2             8 FRESH MIST                    1             Lost ground because of breaker

3             2 WALTS NATTY DATTY   1             Lost some ground because of breaker

4             4 SANTADE’S APPETITE   1             Most pace in stretch, blocked

10           2 BANK SEA                        1             Clear too late with pace

10           10HOMESTRETCH WES   2             Moving strong, then checked in deep stretch

11           6 OOH REAL GOOD          1             Clear too late with pace

12           5 BEACH DREAMZZZ        2             3-wide a long way, then pressed, then open lead

12           7 SHINKANSEN                  1             Clear too late, appeared to have trot

14           1 GOTWUTEVERITTAKES1              In lineup through stretch

Meadowlands 11-11

Fastest last quarter at 26:3 shared by PULP FICTION, SOUTJWOND GENDRY and CAPTAIN CRUSADER N

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

4             2 PISCO SOUR                   1             Blocked with trot

4             8 KINESIOLOGY                 1             No room along pylons

5             1 HOPNROLL HEAVEN     1             Clear too late with pace

5             8 WARRAWEE VELOCE    2             4-wide brush to top, then beat top horse in stretch

8             6 BUILDING BOOST          1             Most pace when clear along pylons

9             2 ARDEN MESSI N            1             Clear too late with pace

9             7 MY PAL JOE                    1             Wide and used hard in 1q, then parked 3/8

10           8 SUGAR ME N                 2             Wide and hard used

10           9 REVOLVER N                  2             Race long over before he got loose with most pace

12           7 TOCCOA FALLS               2             Wide brush 1q, then came back in stretch

Freehold  11-10

Fastest last quarter at 27:3 by LYONS STEEL

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             2 SANTAFE’S MJ                1             Blocked with pace

1             3 FUSSPOT                         1             No room between

2             5 DREAM CHASE               1             Shuffled out, then blocked

6             2 BAD DAY BLACK ROCK 1             Never clear, appeared to have trot

Freehold  11-11

Races 10 and 12 featured amateur drivers.

Fastest last quarter at 27:2 BARON MICHAEL; Fastest time 1:53:4 HAGGARD

1             1 MY BOY JACK                 1             Pressed the entire mile

1             8 PROM KING                    2             3-wid first turn, parked mile, blocked in stretch

2             5 BOURBONS COURAGE1              Checked and wide at 3/8, most pace in lane

4             4 JERRYTONE                    1             Blocked

6             6 ALWAYS B BILLY             2             Blindswitch, pace when clear

11           1 TOTO HANOVER            1             Clear too late

12           5 GRAFENBERG                 1             Clear too late

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink