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The objective of this analysis is to identify harness racing horses via plus or minus scores that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.
Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, and no uncharted exertion earlier.
Scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race as other handicapping factors come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.
The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. (HARNESSLINK.COM article published 12-29) That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and this weekend was the second cold trifecta when three scored horses ended up in the same race).
You cannot assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races, and see Freehold or Meadowlands in the past performances, click here. This will open up the list of all articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.
Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but out-of-town winners will be identified on occasion.
This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses
*Oak Grove 5-6 Race 1 ADMIRAL HILL $ 4.94 Third straight win after scoring in M’lands qualifier
*Oak Grove 5-6 Race 2 MAMBACITA $ 2.56 Second straight win after +2 score in M’lands qualifier
*Ice cold double paid $ 5.70
Monticello 5-8 Race 2 MAXIMUS $12.20 Scored in last start at M’lands
Freehold 5-10 Race 6 CUTTING HUMOR $10.80 Second straight win after score at Freehold
Freehold 5-10 Race 9 EA MUSHU $ 3.40 Scored in last start at Freehold
Harrah’s Phil 5-10 Race 7 WARRAWEE TOTAL $ 8.20 Scored in last start at M’lands
M’lands 5-10 Race 4 BUCKEYE EMERY $ 4.40 Scored in last at M’lands
*M’lands 5-10 Race 12 FADE OUT $10.00 Scored at M’lands 4-26, excellent 2nd last week.
*M’lands 5-10 Race 12 CENTURY JAMILA $13.20 to place at 13-1, scored in last start at M’lands. Completes $128.20 exacta.
CENTURY JAMILA REPLAY
Meadows 5-11 Race 5 BARRIER $ 4.80 Scored in last at M’lands
M’lands 5-11 Race 1 MUSCLE FACTORY A $11.40 Scored +2 in last at M’lands
M’lands 5-11 Race 4 KARL $ 2.10 Scored +3 in qualifier.
M’lands 5-11 Race 7 SPY COAST $ 3.00 Scored +2 in last at M’lands
M’lands 5-11 Race 11 MIRAGE HANOVER $15.40 Scored on 4-20 qualifier, then beat a nose by outstanding GEM QUALITY in next qualifier
MIRAGE HANOVER REPLAY
Yonkers 5-11 Race 8 STOCKHOLM HANOVER $10.60 Scored -2 in last at Freehold. Not a typo. He was considered a horse to avoid because he was third of the 3 horses who did not break. Guess what happened in this race. That’s right. All but Stockholm Hanover and the longest shots in the race stayed flat. Winner, winner, chicken dinner. Too funny.
Harrah’s Phil 5-12 Race 6 GRAND CAYMAN $ 3.20 Scored +2 in last start at M’lands
Meadowlands Qualifiers 5-10 *** Off track – track appeared slow ***
Young horses will be shipping everywhere. Worth tracking.
*** Pace Fastest qualifier BYTHEMISSAL 1:51.1 (outgamed ALLYWAG HANOVER)
*** Pace Fastest last quarter CAPTAIN ALBANO :25.3
*** Trot Fastest qualifier COOL PAPA BELL 1:55.0
*** Trot Fastest last quarter GLAMOROUS HANOVER :27.1
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 7 CAVIART BELLE 2 Strong pace under a hold behind horses
CAVIART BELLE REPLAY
5 2 WHITE SHOE HANOVER 1 Never given head, looked like he had more
7 4 CAPTAIN ALBANO 1 Strong acceleration after given head
8 4 TRICKY CAPTAIN N 1 Lineup, appeared to have more pace
Meadowlands Racing 5-10 *** Off track impacted results ***
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 3 LETS RYDE GIRL 1 In tight quarters with pace
3 6 STEELY KNIFE 1 Weave into traffic
7 7 CONCUR 2 Lost ground wide on turn, then weaved with pace in stretch
CONCUR REPLAY
8 3 VENERATE 1 Lost all chance behind dead cover after 3q
12 10 CENTURY JAMILA 1 Shut off, then clear too late
Meadowlands Racing 5-11
Race Horse Score Analysis
1 T DOG 1 Blocked with pace
2 7 TOVE PALEMA -1 Was beaten before she broke
3 3 WATERFALL 1 Weakly driven in stretch
WATERFALL REPLAY
6 2 COOL MA BELLE 1 Blocked with trot
9 7 BONAPARTE 2 Most pace when clear
11 4 KOLBY TWO STEP 1 Strongest finish from too far back
12 7 BACKSTREET SHADOW 2 Winner if clear
1
BACKSTREET SHADOW REPLAY
13 7 AIR GUITAR 1 Block with pace
13 10 DIVINE RIGHT 2 Shut off with plenty
14 8 ODDS ON SELENIUM 1 Race long over before he cleared, some pace
Freehold Racing 5-10
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 8 PRINCESS GLYDANA 1 Cut off when moving well in stretch
3 6 ROCKFORD PEACH 1 Race long over before clear with some pace
5 5 CAVIAR STAR 1 Clear too late with some trot
5 5 LANDIA 1 Pushed wide after 3q
9 4 BRIGHTEN YOUR LIFE 1 Blindswitch and taken out
Freehold Racing 5-11
Race Horse Score Analysis
2 3 FENDI HANOVER 1 Shuffled out, came on when clear
2 6 TIE YOUR SHOE ED 1 Wide the 1st turn, long 1-over move before 3/8 to 3q
5 7 BEACON BEACH 2 3-wide, hard used and pushed wide, last 3/8
BEACON BEACH REPLAY
9 4 MUSIC IS ART 1 Tight between with pace
12 7 ELM GROVE RESTWIND 1 Very good pace when clear
by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink
