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Home USA

Gil Winston: Meadowlands & Freehold analysis

28 February 2024
in Top 4, USA
by Gil Winston
0

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the harness racing past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced.

Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that are  scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, or no undue exertion earlier in the race that was not captured in the past performances.

These scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come into play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races.

The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. See the HARNESSLINK.COM article published on 12-29. That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and even one cold trifecta with three scored horses ended up in the same race).

Do not assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races from either Freehold or The Meadowlands, go to the HARNESSLINK.COM site and click on my name at the bottom of any of my articles. This will open up the list of all the articles.

For horses that show lines that pique your interest. Find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

If you want to track horses that “sneak out of town” save the scored horses in your virtual stable when they first show up in the analyses. Tracking shippers is not part of this analysis, but some will be identified on occasion.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analysis

Pocono Downs   2-19                      Race 4   BLUEBERRY HANOVER    $ 8.20    Scored in last start at Freehold

Freehold              2-23                      Race 9   BEST CHOICE                     $ 4.60    Received the highest score (+3) in his last start at Freehold.

M’lands                2-23                      Race 6   BADDITUDE                       $ 4.00    Scored in her last start at M’lands

M’lands                2-23                      Race 9   AMERICAN WAY                $ 3.60    Scored +2 in a most impressive qualifier. Hope some of you hit the pick4 as two scored horses were part of $119 ticket for a 50 cent bet.

*M’lands              2-23                      Race 10 UPTOWN LADY N             $ 5.80    Scored in her last start at M’lands

*M’lands              2-23                      Race 10 ABSOLUTE POWER          Get yer ice cold, heeyah. Completes the $18 exacta as first and second place horses were scored in their last starts.

M’lands                2-23                      Race12  MISS CHANTILLY N           $ 5.80 Scored +2 in her last start at M’lands. .

Freehold              2-24                      Race 11 SEE YOU FRIDAY               $ 6.40 Scored at M’lands on 2-10, impossible spot in his next start. Hope some of you got lucky with the gimmicks. He topped a $200+ exacta, $800+ trifecta and the dime super was over $380.

M’lands                2-24                      Race 9 WARRAWEE TOTAL            $ 5.00 Scored +2 in his last start at M’lands. Dead heat winner at 4-1.

M’lands                2-24                      Race 12 MAJORLY SEXY                 $12.00 Scored on 12-10 at M’lands, then was caught wide in a tough trip in last.

Meadowlands Qualifiers 2-24

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             1 SISTER’S KEEPER           2             Stayed in behind dead cover with a lot of trot

1             2 GREEN PASTURES         1             Closed willingly when finally allowed to trot late in the stretch

3             4 HELLABALOU                 1             Had more in the tank

4             3 BEACH COWGIRL          2             Strong hold down the stretch

Meadowlands 2-23

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

3             2 FASHION CANTAB         1             Tripped out, but easy winner if clear

3             4 USURP HANOVER         1             Never clear with trot

3             8 BRIGHT EXPECTATION  1             Most trot, too far back, and straight excuse

3             9 BINGO BRAIN                2             Wide, then hard brush, tuck before ½, then out before stretch

4             5 ARCHIBALD                    1             Shut off with trot

4             6 POKER PLAY                   1             Used in first quarter, shuffled out, clear too late, some trot

4             9 GRIZZ WYLLIE                -1           Benefitted from trip and hung

6             4 EILEEN’S WISH               1             Blocked with pace

12           6 CASH ROLL                     1             Clear too late with some pace

12           7 LETS RYDE GIRL             -1           Tripped out, followed the winner

13           1 DINGLE                            1             Shuffled out, 2nd straight excuse

13           2 HERE IS HELP                 -1           Gapped badly before breaking

13           9 KEYSTONE BLADE         1             Never clear, behind dead cover far back

Meadowlands 2-24        

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

2             8 RACING MONEY            1             Clear too late

5             4 CALL ME DANI               2             Checked behind breaker

5             10 LINDYS IRISHCREAM  1             Winner, then broke

6             8 THIRD PILLAR                 1             Weave with pace

6             9 FLIRTN JK                        1             Break caused by pacing in to horse

7             2 KNOCKIN OUT               1             Never clear

8             10 VILLIAM                        1             Lineup on rail with pace

10           9 MARCUS SEELSTER       1             3-wide entire 1st quarter

12           5 AIR GUITAR                     1             Caught behind tiring horse too long, good pace when clear

Freehold  2-23                         

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1             3 TWO MORE DREAMS   1             Blocked inside, some pace

2             4 EDEN PAIGE N               1             4-wide 1st turn, then 1st over into 1-2 favorite

2             7 SHEEZA SHARK N          1             Too far back, weave with some pace in stretch

3             3 T H MRS MCMURRY     1             Blocked in stretch, some more pace

3             7 MISS BOMBSAWAY       1             3-wide entire first turn

5             4 LOVELY LADY MAY        2             3-wide entire first turn, then pushed wide off of last turn

5             5 MAYDAYMAVERICKHOPE 1        Clear too late with most pace

9             3 SASSENACH                    2             3-wide passed 1/8, pressed

9             6 LOVIN MISS DAISY N    1             3-wide almost 1q

9             7 AIDA DE VIE                   1             Most pace when finally clear

Freehold  2-24                 

Race      Horse                                   Score     Analysis

1 – 5      All WUSIWUG

6             1 ROCKIN ROGER             1             Clear too late with some pace

8             3 ROCKS NOBLE ARTIST  1             Shuffled out

8             6 R CAPTAIN HANOVER   1             Strong pace after getting a lane

9             4 REVOLVER N                  1             Clear too late with most pace

11           4 MY NAME IS HAIRY      2             Wide 1/8, parked passed quarter, shuffle, came again

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink

Tags: Freehold RacewayGil WinstonMeadowlands RacetrackUnited States Harness Racing
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