Gil Winston’s Freehold and Meadowlands analysis

The objective of this analysis is to identify horses with plus or minus evaluations that are not identifiable in the past performances. Horses whose races are accurately captured in the past performances are not captured here, regardless of how well or poorly they may have raced. Consider all races without comment as WUSIWUG – an acronym for What U See (in past performances) Is What U Get. Some races may identify multiple horses that scored, while other races are clearly defined in the past performances, and no horse is scored. These unscored horses all had clearance in the pivotal part of the stretch, or no undue exertion earlier in the race that was not captured in the past performances.

These scores do not indicate must-bet or must-toss the next time they race because other handicapping factors will come in to play. But these scores give the bettor a huge edge in what is frequently the most important factor when making betting decisions and many scored horses have been coming in with generous payouts in their next races. The highest $2 win payout was for VANDALISM who paid $188 for a $2 wager on 12-29 at The Meadowlands. He had been scored with “clear too late with some pace” in his previous start there. See the HARNESSLINK.COM article published on 12-29. That was the biggest price, but there have been many more long prices (including cold exactas, and even one cold trifecta with three scored horses ended up  in the same race).

Do not assume scored horses will race the following week. Here is the best way to profit from this analysis. On the day you are wagering on races from either Freehold or The Meadowlands, go to the HARNESSLINK.COM site and click on my name at the bottom of any of my articles. This will open up the list of all the articles. For horses that show lines that pique your interest, find the article that analyzes the races for that day, then search for the horse. If the horse has a positive score, you know the horse is better than the pp line shows. Click on other weeks that the horse raced if the most recent race does not complete the story for you. This will give you access to all analysis.

If you want to track horses that “sneak out of town” save the scored horses in your virtual stable when they first show up in the analyses.

This week’s winners that were identified in previous analyses.

Freehold Race 4 BEST CHOICE $16.00 Scored +2 last start at Freehold

Freehold Race 5 CELCIUS $ 2.60 Scored +1 last start at M’lands

M’lands Race 7 HOMESTRETCH WES $ 3.80 Scored +1 last start at M’lands

Meadowlands Qualifiers 2-10

Race Horse Score Analysis

3 4 CAPTAIN CAVEMAN 1 Race long over when he was turned loose. Strong close

4 2 AMERICAN DEALER N 1 Did not ask for pace until very late. Strong close.

Meadowlands 2-9

Race Horse Score Analysis

1 5 TAKEITTOTHEFACE 1 Trouble getting straight, could have won by more

2 2 BINGO BRAIN 1 Clear too late, picked up some speed when clear

3 4 SHELLIE DE VIE 1 Blocked with pace

4 10 ZLATAN 1 3-wide almost entire 1st quarter

5 1 THUNDRFRMTHETHRON N 1 Never clear

6 4 P CHICO 1 Clear too late

7 3 COACH WENDL 1 Weaved, checked, then good when clear

7 8 LACHIE MAGUIRE N 2 Pushed wide last turn, checked, then accelerated late

8 1 ABSOLUTE POWER 1 Block rail some pace, 2nd straight excuse

8 6 PEARL HARBOUR N 1 Very good pace when clear on the outside

9 5 OUTSIDE THE FIRE 2 Winner if clear in time

10 9 TAKEMETOTHELIMIT GB 1 Wide and checked on last turn, best in stretch

11 7 CONGRESS HILL EVA 1 Cut off late

11 10 SHINKANSEN 2 Blocked with trot

12 5 BULLVILLEKARLA 1 Clear too late with pace

Meadowlands 2-10

Race Horse Score Analysis

1 7 MV OK PALACIO 1 Too far back, best late, 3rd straight excuse line

2 2 SNEAK ON BYE 1 No clearance in stretch

3 7 BIZYS BEATLE 2 Wide first 8th, then bottomed out chasing runaway

6 1 SEE YOU FRIDAY 1 Tight quarters, unable to extend in stretch

6 8 LIKE CLOCKWORK 1 Wide first 8th, no tuck until almost quarter

6 9 GOLDEN GESTURE 1 Very wide first 8th while going nowhere

7 2 THROWING COPPER 2 Shut off when closing best. Winner after wire, 2nd straight excuse

8 2 WESTERN JOE 2 Started pacing strong when he got clearance

8 8 GREAT SOMEWHERE 2 Wide and hard used first q, 2nd move and still much the best

9 2 NATURALLY GIFTED A 3 Blocked with plenty. Looks like a special horse.

9 6 IDEAL FEELING 1 Blocked between

10 3 SAULSBROOK RAPTOR 1 Blocked between

11 2 LYONS PRIDE 1 Blocked inside

12 5 MAJORLY SEXY A 1 Lost a lot of ground getting around weak cover, then weaving in stretch

13 7 RIFLEMAN 1 Clear too late inside

14 9 MIDNIGHT THUNDER 1 Very wide passed the first eighth

Freehold  2-9

Race Horse Score Analysis

1 7 JOVITOLA 1 Blocked with pace

4 6 BYRDS THE WORD 1 Weaved behind horse going nowhere in stretch

4 7 SWEET TALKIN GYPSY 1 Most pace in stretch

5 6 MYSTIQUE GIRL 2 Wide 1st turn, blindswitch, then wide last turn,  good close

5 7 T H MRS MCMURRY 1 3-wide first 8th, checked, some pace late

6 4 FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN 1 Wide in fast 1st quarter

6 5 CINCO SENORITA 1 Shut off between in deep stretch

6 6 GAITWAY GAL 1 4-wide first 8th

7 5 LA MAGIC 1 Taken out with blindswitch

8 1 AIDA DE VIE 1 Clear too late with pace

8 7 CUTTING HUMOR 1 Most pace on the far outside

Freehold  210 ***Transmission problems with Freehold signal all afternoon ***

Race Horse Score Analysis

1 1 PAPRIKE BLUE CHIP 2 3-wide entire clubhouse turn, had much more in stretch

2 7 JUST A ROCKET MAN 2 4-wide 1/8, 3-wide almost quarter, pressed

8 7 MYSWEETBOYMAX 1 Blindswitch, and never clear

9 5 BLUEBERRY HEAVEN 1 Behind dead cover. Wide last turn then closed strong

9 6 TOTO HANOVER 1 Good when clear along cones

by Gil Winston, for Harnesslink